I apply engineering rigor to the financial hype.
"If a machine burned a city's worth of electricity to balance a checkbook, the engineers wouldn't call it 'the future.' They would simply call it inefficient. I see Bitcoin as a machine—a system designed for a specific purpose—and my analysis proves that this engine is fundamentally flawed."
Hello. My name is Pratik V. Padghane. This is my LinkedIn profile. Note that I'm not active on social media.
I am not a financial "guru." I am not a crypto trader. I am an Electrical Engineer (B.E.) and a Scientific Copy Editor with six years of experience in dissecting complex systems. I aspire to be an independent researcher.
My journey into this space began with a simple question: "Where does the value of Bitcoin come from?"
When I looked at the Bitcoin ecosystem through an engineer's lens, I didn't see a revolution. I saw a thermodynamic failure. I saw a closed-loop system that consumes massive amounts of energy to produce random numbers, all while relying entirely on new investors to pay off the old ones.
Why I Write
The financial world, especially the crypto space, is noisy. It is filled with broken promises and speculation, "number go up" charts, and complex jargon designed to confuse rational investors. Mu analysis so far has turned me into a bitcoin critic.
Prominent bitcoin critics include Warren Buffett, Bill Gates, Jamie Dimon, Christine Lagarde, Joseph Stiglitz, Nouriel Roubini, Paul Krugman, Peter Schiff, and more.
There's a fundamental knowledge gap between the advocates, the critics, and the general public. The advocates and critics don't explain enough for the people to understand what they're saying and why. To those who don't understand money and computers, it's mostly noise, and may be some price charts.
I'm not popular, but I assure you that it's only because I avoid social media, not because I'm a bad student of engineering and economics. My goal, through the "Bitcoin, Energy & Economics" blog is to analyze and distill all of this pro-bitcoin narratives and their counterarguments using First-Principles Thinking.
My Methodology
Every article and book I write adheres to three rules:
- No Hype: I don't care about the price. I care about the utility and impact.
- No Jargon: If a concept cannot be explained with a simple analogy, it is likely nonsense. In case of crypto, even the most fundamental concepts are intentionally complicated to hide their meaning (or the lack of it).
- Data Over Narrative: My conclusions are backed by hashrate data, energy consumption metrics, and economic realities evident from government reports and news articles and research from trusted sources. Every single source is cited in each of my blog articles.
The "Engineering Perspective" Series
My study culminated in my three non-fiction books. They are not investment guides; they are technical reality checks.
1. Confessions of Bitcoin's AI: A detailed analysis of the "Grid Hero" narrative of Bitcoin mining through a conversation with a Bitcoin advocate AI.
2. The Bitcoin Pyramid (being updated): A mathematical breakdown of why crypto is a negative-sum game.
3. The Bucket-Water Analogy (being updated): A dismantling of the "Proof-of-Work" mechanism.
If you are looking for someone to tell you which coin to buy, you are in the wrong place. But if you are looking for the sober, mathematical truth about the crypto ecosystem, welcome.
Read my findings on Kindle. Both books, The Bitcoin Pyramid and The Bucket-Water Analogy, are currently being updated. They are free for Kindle Unlimited subscribers. Do read them.
I'd appreciate your feedback.
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